Firm Risk Signals
Which political risk channels show material evidence for a given firm, and how should that signal be used?
Results Showing 225 signals
| RS | Reliance Steel & Aluminum · United States | Supply Chain Disruption | Steel - Service Centers | Strong evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 24 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| VVX | V2X Inc · United States | Tech Transfer | Aerospace - Defense Electronics | Strong evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 17 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| EMN | Eastman Chemical · United States | Capital Controls | Chemicals - Specialty | Strong evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| TDG | TransDigm Group · United States | Market Dislocation | Aerospace - Proprietary Components | Strong evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 10 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| AGI | Alamos Gold Inc · United States | Tax Regime | Mining - Gold | Strong evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 13 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| IRM | Iron Mountain Incorporated · United States | Tech Transfer | AI Data Center / DC Operator | Strong evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 17 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| CMRE | Costamare Inc. · United States | Trade Policy | Shipping - Container Vessels | Strong evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 31 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| IRM | Iron Mountain Incorporated · United States | Supply Chain Disruption | AI Data Center / DC Operator | Strong evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| CDE | Coeur Mining, Inc. · United States | Tech Transfer | Critical Materials - Gold/Silver | Strong evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 17 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| NEE | NextEra Energy Inc · United States | Military Conflict | AI Data Center / Utility | Strong evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 16 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| WFRD | Weatherford International plc · United States | Tech Transfer | Energy - Oilfield Services | Strong evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 17 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| OSIS | OSI Systems, Inc. · United States | Infrastructure Failure | Security - Screening & Detection | Strong evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 32 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| RVLV | Revolve Group, Inc. · United States | Sanctions | Negative Control - Internet Retail | Strong evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 23 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| NUE | Nucor Corporation · United States | Supply Chain Disruption | Steel - Mini-Mill | Strong evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 24 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| SBAC | SBA Communications · United States | Supply Chain Disruption | Infrastructure - Wireless Towers | Strong evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| HL | Hecla Mining Company · United States | Nationalization | Materials - Precious Metals Mining | Strong evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 14 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| VVX | V2X Inc · United States | Tax Regime | Aerospace - Defense Electronics | Strong evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 13 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| TDG | TransDigm Group · United States | Supply Chain Disruption | Aerospace - Proprietary Components | Strong evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 23 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| MATX | Matson, Inc. · United States | Tax Regime | Logistics - Ocean Shipping | Strong evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 13 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| SLAB | Silicon Laboratories Inc. · United States | Military Conflict | Semiconductors - IoT/Wireless | Strong evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| CDE | Coeur Mining, Inc. · United States | Nationalization | Critical Materials - Gold/Silver | Strong evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 14 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| MPC | MPC · United States | Capital Controls | Energy | Strong evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| NEE | NextEra Energy Inc · United States | Regulatory Change | AI Data Center / Utility | Strong evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 49 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| VST | Vistra Corp · United States | Market Dislocation | AI Data Center / Utility | Strong evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 9 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| BA | Boeing · United States | Trade Policy | Aerospace - Commercial + Defense | Strong evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 31 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| GOAU | Metalurgica Gerdau · Brazil | Infrastructure Failure | Steel (holding) | Strong evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 32 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| ATKR | Atkore Inc. · United States | Supply Chain Disruption | Infrastructure - Electrical Conduit | Strong evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| HII | Huntington Ingalls Industries · United States | Nationalization | Defense - Naval Shipbuilding | Strong evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 14 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| ROL | Rollins Inc · United States | Supply Chain Disruption | Pest Control Services | Strong evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| AES | AES Corporation · United States | Sanctions | AI Data Center / Utility | Strong evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| CENX | Century Aluminum Company · United States | Regulatory Change | Materials - Primary Aluminum Production | Strong evidence | ▼▼Moderate stress Noticeable negative response to events of this type. Signal is present but not as pronounced. | 49 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| GOAU | Metalurgica Gerdau · Brazil | Regulatory Change | Steel (holding) | Strong evidence | ▼▼Moderate stress Noticeable negative response to events of this type. Signal is present but not as pronounced. | 49 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| IREN | IREN Limited · United States | Infrastructure Failure | AI Data Center / Neocloud | Strong evidence, independently checked | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 13 | Strong event-specific evidence, confirmed on held-out events. Use for focused diligence on this peril. | Focused Diligence |
| MAERSK | A.P. Moller-Maersk · Denmark | Infrastructure Failure | Shipping - Container Liner | Strong evidence, independently checked | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 32 | Strong event-specific evidence, confirmed on held-out events. Use for focused diligence on this peril. | Focused Diligence |
| DLR | Digital Realty Trust · United States | Market Dislocation | AI Data Center / DC Operator | Strong evidence, independently checked | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 10 | Strong event-specific evidence, confirmed on held-out events. Use for focused diligence on this peril. | Focused Diligence |
| GDS | GDS Holdings · United States | Regulatory Change | AI Data Center / DC Operator | Strong evidence, independently checked | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 49 | Strong event-specific evidence, confirmed on held-out events. Use for focused diligence on this peril. | Focused Diligence |
| YTLPOWR | YTL Power Intl · Malaysia | Tech Transfer | AI Data Center / DC Operator + Utility | Strong evidence, independently checked | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 17 | Strong event-specific evidence, confirmed on held-out events. Use for focused diligence on this peril. | Focused Diligence |
| PH | Parker-Hannifin · United States | Military Conflict | Industrials - Motion/Aerospace | Strong evidence, independently checked | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Strong event-specific evidence, confirmed on held-out events. Use for focused diligence on this peril. | Focused Diligence |
| NXPI | NXP Semiconductors · United States | Capital Controls | Semiconductors - Automotive/Embedded | Strong evidence, independently checked | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Strong event-specific evidence, confirmed on held-out events. Use for focused diligence on this peril. | Focused Diligence |
| NPN | NPN · South Africa | Regulatory Change | JSE-listed (SA panel) | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 74 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| HLIT | Harmonic Inc. · United States | Market Dislocation | Infrastructure - Video/Broadband | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 10 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| NED | NED · South Africa | Nationalization | JSE-listed (SA panel) | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 35 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| WHL | WHL · South Africa | Nationalization | JSE-listed (SA panel) | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 35 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| BWXT | BWX Technologies, Inc. · United States | Trade Policy | Defense / Nuclear - Naval Reactors | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 31 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| OGC | OceanaGold Corporation · United States | Tech Transfer | Mining - Gold | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 17 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| DIN | Dine Brands Global, Inc. · United States | Supply Chain Disruption | Negative Control - Restaurants | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| CMP | Compass Minerals International · United States | Tech Transfer | Materials - Salt & Lithium | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 17 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| TGA | Thungela Resources Limited · South Africa | Supply Chain Disruption | Mining - Thermal Coal | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 24 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| TGA | Thungela Resources Limited · South Africa | Sovereign Crisis | Mining - Thermal Coal | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 35 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| TGA | Thungela Resources Limited · South Africa | Regulatory Change | Mining - Thermal Coal | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 74 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| IOSP | Innospec Inc. · United States | Regulatory Change | Chemicals - Specialty/Fuel Additives | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 49 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| BID | BID · South Africa | Tech Transfer | JSE-listed (SA panel) | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 45 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| VOD_JO | VOD_JO · South Africa | Tech Transfer | JSE-listed (SA panel) | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 45 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| SCI | Service Corporation International · United States | Nationalization | Funeral Services | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 14 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| NPN | NPN · South Africa | Supply Chain Disruption | JSE-listed (SA panel) | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 23 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| DSY | DSY · South Africa | Market Dislocation | JSE-listed (SA panel) | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 25 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| CC | The Chemours Company · United States | Nationalization | Specialty Chemicals - Performance Chemicals | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 14 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| BWXT | BWX Technologies, Inc. · United States | Sovereign Crisis | Defense / Nuclear - Naval Reactors | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 20 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| RNI | RNI · South Africa | Tech Transfer | JSE-listed (SA panel) | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 45 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| INTC | Intel Corporation · United States | Supply Chain Disruption | Semiconductors - IDM (CPU + Foundry) | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| TGA | Thungela Resources Limited · South Africa | Nationalization | Mining - Thermal Coal | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 35 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| DEWA | DEWA · United Arab Emirates | Regulatory Change | AI Data Center / Sovereign Utility | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 49 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| ZIM | ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd · United States | Nationalization | Shipping - Container Liner | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 14 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| BN4_SI | Keppel Ltd · Singapore | Tech Transfer | AI Data Center / DC Operator | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 17 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| CMP | Compass Minerals International · United States | Capital Controls | Materials - Salt & Lithium | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 16 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| KIO | Kumba Iron Ore Limited · South Africa | Sanctions | Mining - Iron Ore | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 49 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| MIDD | The Middleby Corporation · United States | Supply Chain Disruption | Specialty Industrial - Food Service Equipment | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| CLFD | Clearfield, Inc. · United States | Sanctions | Infrastructure - Fiber Optic Equipment | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 23 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| AEIS | Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. · United States | Supply Chain Disruption | Technology - Semiconductor Power Systems | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 23 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| ENR_DE | Siemens Energy AG · Germany | Regulatory Change | AI Data Center / Grid Equipment | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 49 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| NHM | Northam Platinum Holdings Limited · South Africa | Sovereign Crisis | Mining - PGMs | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 35 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| GDS | GDS Holdings · United States | Tech Transfer | AI Data Center / DC Operator | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 17 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| MTN | MTN · South Africa | Sovereign Crisis | JSE-listed (SA panel) | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 35 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| LDOS | Leidos Holdings · United States | Sanctions | Defense | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| NEXTDC | NEXTDC Ltd · Australia | Tax Regime | AI Data Center / DC Operator | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 13 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| QCOM | Qualcomm Inc · United States | Supply Chain Disruption | Semiconductors - Mobile Chipsets/RF | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 23 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| FORM | FormFactor Inc · United States | Supply Chain Disruption | Semiconductor Test Equipment | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 23 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| BRC | Brady Corporation · United States | Military Conflict | Negative Control - Safety Products | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| CCO | Cameco Corporation · United States | Sanctions | Mining - Uranium | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 23 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| SCI | Service Corporation International · United States | Supply Chain Disruption | Funeral Services | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| AMKR | Amkor Technology, Inc. · United States | Tax Regime | Semiconductors - Packaging/Test | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 13 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| DEWA | DEWA · United Arab Emirates | Supply Chain Disruption | AI Data Center / Sovereign Utility | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 23 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| BN4_SI | Keppel Ltd · Singapore | Trade Policy | AI Data Center / DC Operator | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 18 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| KWR | Quaker Houghton · United States | Supply Chain Disruption | Chemicals - Industrial Process Fluids | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| TXN | Texas Instruments · United States | Trade Policy | Semiconductors - Analog/Embedded (IDM) | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 31 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| RTX | RTX Corporation · United States | Regulatory Change | Defense - Missiles/Engines/Avionics | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 49 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| OR | Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd · United States | Regulatory Change | Mining - Royalty / Streaming | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 49 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| CCJ | CCJ · United States | Military Conflict | Mining | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 16 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| PH | Parker-Hannifin · United States | Nationalization | Industrials - Motion/Aerospace | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 14 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| SU | SU · United States | Capital Controls | Energy | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| GLNG | Golar LNG · United States | Tech Transfer | Shipping - LNG Carriers | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 17 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| MRCY | Mercury Systems, Inc. · United States | Tax Regime | Defense Technology - Processing Subsystems | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 13 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| INTC | Intel Corporation · United States | Tax Regime | Semiconductors - IDM (CPU + Foundry) | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 13 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| ENR_DE | Siemens Energy AG · Germany | Sovereign Crisis | AI Data Center / Grid Equipment | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 20 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| MTDR | Matador Resources Company · United States | Sovereign Crisis | Energy - E&P (Permian) | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 20 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| AGX | Argan Inc · United States | Tech Transfer | Infrastructure - Power Generation Services | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 17 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| LUMN | Lumen Technologies Inc · United States | Infrastructure Failure | AI Data Center / Fiber Backbone | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 32 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| KALU | Kaiser Aluminum Corporation · United States | Capital Controls | Critical Materials - Aluminum | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| BID | BID · South Africa | Sovereign Crisis | JSE-listed (SA panel) | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 35 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| KAP | NAC Kazatomprom JSC · South Africa | Market Dislocation | Mining - Uranium | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 25 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| SSW | Sibanye-Stillwater Limited · South Africa | Infrastructure Failure | Mining - PGMs / Gold / Lithium | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 32 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| AEIS | Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. · United States | Tax Regime | Technology - Semiconductor Power Systems | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 13 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| RES | RPC, Inc. · United States | Sanctions | Energy - Pressure Pumping | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 23 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| OGC | OceanaGold Corporation · United States | Regulatory Change | Mining - Gold | Focused evidence | ▼▼Moderate stress Noticeable negative response to events of this type. Signal is present but not as pronounced. | 49 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| MOS | The Mosaic Company · United States | Trade Policy | Agriculture - Fertilizers | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 31 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| NEXTDC | NEXTDC Ltd · Australia | Tech Transfer | AI Data Center / DC Operator | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 17 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| BTI | BTI · South Africa | Nationalization | JSE-listed (SA panel) | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 35 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| NIC | Nickel Industries Ltd · Australia | Sanctions | Mining - Nickel | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 23 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| BTO | B2Gold Corp · United States | Military Conflict | Mining - Gold | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| GRT | GRT · South Africa | Supply Chain Disruption | JSE-listed (SA panel) | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| PDN | Paladin Energy Ltd · Australia | Capital Controls | Mining - Uranium | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| YAR | Yara International · Norway | Supply Chain Disruption | Chemicals - Nitrogen Fertilizer | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 24 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| ADANIENSOL | Adani Energy Solutions Limited · India | Military Conflict | AI Data Center / Grid Transmission | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| OSIS | OSI Systems, Inc. · United States | Military Conflict | Security - Screening & Detection | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| CAML | Central Asia Metals plc · United Kingdom | Regulatory Change | Mining - Copper / Zinc | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 49 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| BOE | Boss Energy Ltd · Australia | Capital Controls | Mining - Uranium | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| FFB | FFB · South Africa | Supply Chain Disruption | JSE-listed (SA panel) | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| SOH | SOH · South Africa | Market Dislocation | JSE-listed (SA panel) | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 25 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| SEC_SA | Saudi Energy Company · Saudi Arabia | Tax Regime | AI Data Center / Sovereign Utility | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 13 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| NEXTDC | NEXTDC Ltd · Australia | Supply Chain Disruption | AI Data Center / DC Operator | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| IMP | Impala Platinum Holdings Limited · South Africa | Tax Regime | Mining - PGMs | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 7 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| GMD | Genesis Minerals Ltd · Australia | Capital Controls | Mining - Gold | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 6 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| BCPC | Balchem Corporation · United States | Capital Controls | Specialty Chemicals | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 16 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| KMI | KMI · United States | Tax Regime | Energy | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 13 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| SII | Sprott Inc · United States | Tech Transfer | Commodity Financial Vehicle | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 17 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| PAAS | Pan American Silver Corp · United States | Tech Transfer | Mining - Silver / Gold | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 17 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| VALE | VALE · United States | Nationalization | Mining | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 14 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| ABG | ABG · South Africa | Regulatory Change | JSE-listed (SA panel) | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 74 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| SLM | SLM · South Africa | Regulatory Change | JSE-listed (SA panel) | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 74 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| FM | First Quantum Minerals Ltd · United States | Market Dislocation | Mining - Copper | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 10 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| NTR | NTR · United States | Market Dislocation | Industrials & materials | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 10 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| BVN | Compania de Minas Buenaventura SAA · Peru | Nationalization | Mining - Gold / Silver | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 14 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| NTC | NTC · South Africa | Supply Chain Disruption | JSE-listed (SA panel) | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| NPN | NPN · South Africa | Nationalization | JSE-listed (SA panel) | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 35 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| BWXT | BWX Technologies, Inc. · United States | Tech Transfer | Defense / Nuclear - Naval Reactors | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 17 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| AFE | AFE · South Africa | Supply Chain Disruption | JSE-listed (SA panel) | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| CALM | Cal-Maine Foods, Inc. · United States | Capital Controls | Agriculture - Eggs/Poultry | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 16 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| MRP | MRP · South Africa | Nationalization | JSE-listed (SA panel) | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 35 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| SITM | SiTime Corporation · United States | Tech Transfer | Semiconductors - MEMS Timing | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 17 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| LIN | Linde plc · United States | Supply Chain Disruption | Chemicals - Industrial Gases | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| NPN | NPN · South Africa | Capital Controls | JSE-listed (SA panel) | Early signal | ▼▼Moderate stress Noticeable negative response to events of this type. Signal is present but not as pronounced. | 68 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| RS | Reliance Steel & Aluminum · United States | Sanctions | Steel - Service Centers | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 23 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| SSRM | SSR Mining Inc · United States | Sovereign Crisis | Mining - Gold / Silver | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 20 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| MP | MP Materials Corp. · United States | Sovereign Crisis | Critical Materials - Rare Earths | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 20 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| BTO | B2Gold Corp · United States | Tech Transfer | Mining - Gold | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 17 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| FM | First Quantum Minerals Ltd · United States | Capital Controls | Mining - Copper | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| PTEN | Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc. · United States | Trade Policy | Energy - Drilling Services | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 31 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| SBK | SBK · South Africa | Market Dislocation | JSE-listed (SA panel) | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 25 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| NEM | NEM · United States | Tech Transfer | Mining | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 17 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| BKR | BKR · United States | Trade Policy | Energy | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 31 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| FMC | FMC Corporation · United States | Tech Transfer | Agriculture - Crop Chemicals | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 17 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| AGI | Alamos Gold Inc · United States | Nationalization | Mining - Gold | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 14 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| KIO | Kumba Iron Ore Limited · South Africa | Tech Transfer | Mining - Iron Ore | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 45 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| DUK | Duke Energy Corporation · United States | Market Dislocation | AI Data Center / Utility | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 10 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| INSW | International Seaways, Inc. · United States | Sovereign Crisis | Shipping - Tankers | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 20 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| BA | Boeing · United States | Military Conflict | Aerospace - Commercial + Defense | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| AGX | Argan Inc · United States | Sanctions | Infrastructure - Power Generation Services | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 23 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| CEG | Constellation Energy · United States | Nationalization | AI Data Center / Utility | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 14 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| BN4_SI | Keppel Ltd · Singapore | Supply Chain Disruption | AI Data Center / DC Operator | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 8 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| MTRN | Materion Corporation · United States | Nationalization | Materials - Advanced Materials | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 14 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| TXN | Texas Instruments · United States | Tax Regime | Semiconductors - Analog/Embedded (IDM) | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 13 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| CHRD | Chord Energy Corporation · United States | Sovereign Crisis | Energy - E&P (Williston Basin) | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 20 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| VOD_JO | VOD_JO · South Africa | Regulatory Change | JSE-listed (SA panel) | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 74 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| NEXTDC | NEXTDC Ltd · Australia | Infrastructure Failure | AI Data Center / DC Operator | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 32 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| TDG | TransDigm Group · United States | Capital Controls | Aerospace - Proprietary Components | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| CE | Celanese · United States | Military Conflict | Chemicals - Acetyl/Engineered Materials | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| SM | SM Energy Company · United States | Sovereign Crisis | Energy - E&P (Permian/Eagle Ford) | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 20 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| AES | AES Corporation · United States | Market Dislocation | AI Data Center / Utility | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 10 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| BHP | BHP · United States | Market Dislocation | Mining | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 10 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| CALM | Cal-Maine Foods, Inc. · United States | Infrastructure Failure | Agriculture - Eggs/Poultry | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 32 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| IMP | Impala Platinum Holdings Limited · South Africa | Sovereign Crisis | Mining - PGMs | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 35 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| HBM | Hudbay Minerals Inc · United States | Sanctions | Mining - Copper / Gold / Zinc | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 23 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| MIN | Mineral Resources Ltd · Australia | Supply Chain Disruption | Mining - Iron Ore / Lithium / Mining Services | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| MP | MP Materials Corp. · United States | Tech Transfer | Critical Materials - Rare Earths | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 17 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| KGC | KGC · United States | Tax Regime | Mining | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 13 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| BTO | B2Gold Corp · United States | Regulatory Change | Mining - Gold | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 49 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| HAFNI | Hafnia Ltd · Norway | Sanctions | Shipping - Product Tankers | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 17 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| GGG | Graco Inc. · United States | Supply Chain Disruption | Industrials - Fluid Handling | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| BP | BP plc · United Kingdom | Capital Controls | Energy - Oil / Gas | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| NHY | Norsk Hydro · Norway | Nationalization | Aluminum - Integrated | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 14 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| CHE | Chemed Corporation · United States | Nationalization | Healthcare / Plumbing Services | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 14 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| HAR | Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited · South Africa | Infrastructure Failure | Mining - Gold | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 32 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| CHE | Chemed Corporation · United States | Supply Chain Disruption | Healthcare / Plumbing Services | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| HGM | Hochschild Mining plc · United Kingdom | Infrastructure Failure | Mining - Silver / Gold | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 6 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| BID | BID · South Africa | Regulatory Change | JSE-listed (SA panel) | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 74 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| SHP | SHP · South Africa | Tech Transfer | JSE-listed (SA panel) | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 45 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| ENR_DE | Siemens Energy AG · Germany | Supply Chain Disruption | AI Data Center / Grid Equipment | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 19 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| MRVL | Marvell Technology · United States | Infrastructure Failure | Semiconductors - Custom AI/Networking | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 32 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| TROX | Tronox Holdings plc · United States | Nationalization | Materials - Titanium Dioxide | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 14 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| D | Dominion Energy · United States | Tax Regime | AI Data Center / Utility | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 13 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| VNET | VNET Group Inc · United States | Capital Controls | AI Data Center / DC Operator | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| TTE | TTE · United States | Capital Controls | Energy | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| WPM | Wheaton Precious Metals Corp · United States | Tax Regime | Mining - Royalty / Streaming | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 13 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| WHL | WHL · South Africa | Tech Transfer | JSE-listed (SA panel) | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 45 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| VOD_JO | VOD_JO · South Africa | Supply Chain Disruption | JSE-listed (SA panel) | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| BTI | BTI · South Africa | Tax Regime | JSE-listed (SA panel) | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 35 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| ACWA | ACWA Power · Saudi Arabia | Nationalization | AI Data Center / Power Developer | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 14 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| DSY | DSY · South Africa | Sovereign Crisis | JSE-listed (SA panel) | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 35 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| ACWA | ACWA Power · Saudi Arabia | Military Conflict | AI Data Center / Power Developer | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 8 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| LUMN | Lumen Technologies Inc · United States | Tech Transfer | AI Data Center / Fiber Backbone | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 17 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| NEXTDC | NEXTDC Ltd · Australia | Sanctions | AI Data Center / DC Operator | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| ABX | Barrick Gold Corporation · United States | Capital Controls | Mining - Gold / Copper | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| ITT | ITT Inc. · United States | Military Conflict | Specialty Industrial - Engineered Components | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| NTC | NTC · South Africa | Tech Transfer | JSE-listed (SA panel) | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 45 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| WMB | WMB · United States | Capital Controls | Energy | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| DSY | DSY · South Africa | Nationalization | JSE-listed (SA panel) | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 35 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| AMT | American Tower · United States | Supply Chain Disruption | Infrastructure - Wireless Towers | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| GATX | GATX Corporation · United States | Sanctions | Transportation - Railcar Leasing | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 23 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| ADANIENSOL | Adani Energy Solutions Limited · India | Supply Chain Disruption | AI Data Center / Grid Transmission | Do not use | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 8 | Result excluded: market-data window is contaminated by a corporate action (SPAC, ticker rename, spin-off, IPO). | Do Not Use |
| ADANIENSOL | Adani Energy Solutions Limited · India | Regulatory Change | AI Data Center / Grid Transmission | Do not use | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 49 | Result excluded: market-data window is contaminated by a corporate action (SPAC, ticker rename, spin-off, IPO). | Do Not Use |
| LAC | LAC · United States | Tech Transfer | Mining | Do not use | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 10 | Result excluded: market-data window is contaminated by a corporate action (SPAC, ticker rename, spin-off, IPO). | Do Not Use |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings · United States | Regulatory Change | AI Data Center / Grid Equipment | Do not use | ▼▼Moderate stress Noticeable negative response to events of this type. Signal is present but not as pronounced. | 43 | Result excluded: market-data window is contaminated by a corporate action (SPAC, ticker rename, spin-off, IPO). | Do Not Use |
| LAC | LAC · United States | Sanctions | Mining | Do not use | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 8 | Result excluded: market-data window is contaminated by a corporate action (SPAC, ticker rename, spin-off, IPO). | Do Not Use |
| VAL | VAL · United States | Regulatory Change | Energy | Do not use | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 41 | Result excluded: market-data window is contaminated by a corporate action (SPAC, ticker rename, spin-off, IPO). | Do Not Use |
| VAL | VAL · United States | Supply Chain Disruption | Energy | Do not use | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 16 | Result excluded: market-data window is contaminated by a corporate action (SPAC, ticker rename, spin-off, IPO). | Do Not Use |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings · United States | Nationalization | AI Data Center / Grid Equipment | Do not use | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 8 | Result excluded: market-data window is contaminated by a corporate action (SPAC, ticker rename, spin-off, IPO). | Do Not Use |
| LAC | LAC · United States | Infrastructure Failure | Mining | Do not use | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 6 | Result excluded: market-data window is contaminated by a corporate action (SPAC, ticker rename, spin-off, IPO). | Do Not Use |
| LAC | LAC · United States | Regulatory Change | Mining | Do not use | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 31 | Result excluded: market-data window is contaminated by a corporate action (SPAC, ticker rename, spin-off, IPO). | Do Not Use |
| LAC | LAC · United States | Military Conflict | Do not use | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | Result excluded: market-data window is contaminated by a corporate action (SPAC, ticker rename, spin-off, IPO). | Do Not Use | ||
| TECK | Teck Resources Limited · United States | Nationalization | Mining - Copper / Zinc | Do not use | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | Result excluded: market-data window is contaminated by a corporate action (SPAC, ticker rename, spin-off, IPO). | Do Not Use | |
| FANG | Diamondback Energy · United States | Sanctions | Oil & Gas E&P | Do not use | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | Result excluded: market-data window is contaminated by a corporate action (SPAC, ticker rename, spin-off, IPO). | Do Not Use | |
| J | J · United States | Sanctions | Do not use | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | Result excluded: market-data window is contaminated by a corporate action (SPAC, ticker rename, spin-off, IPO). | Do Not Use | ||
| GDS | GDS Holdings · United States | Supply Chain Disruption | AI Data Center / DC Operator | Do not use | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 23 | Result excluded: firm response is contaminated by a secondary exposure (ownership tie, event-window overlap, or unrelated driver). | Do Not Use |
| VNET | VNET Group Inc · United States | Sanctions | AI Data Center / DC Operator | Do not use | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Result excluded: firm response is contaminated by a secondary exposure (ownership tie, event-window overlap, or unrelated driver). | Do Not Use |
| ETN | Eaton Corporation plc · United States | Nationalization | AI Data Center / Grid Equipment | Do not use | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 14 | Result excluded: signal depends on a single event and is too fragile to use. | Do Not Use |