Firm Risk Signals
Which political risk channels show material evidence for a given firm, and how should that signal be used?
Results Showing 225 signals
| RS | Reliance Steel & Aluminum | United States | Supply Chain Disruption | Steel & Metals | Strong evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 24 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| VVX | VVX | United States | Tech Transfer | AI / Defense / Infra | Strong evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 17 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| EMN | Eastman Chemical | United States | Capital Controls | Chemicals | Strong evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| TDG | TransDigm Group | United States | Market Dislocation | Defense | Strong evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 10 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| AGI | Alamos Gold Inc | United States | Tax Regime | Mining | Strong evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 13 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| IRM | Iron Mountain Incorporated | United States | Tech Transfer | AI infrastructure | Strong evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 17 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| CMRE | Costamare Inc. | United States | Trade Policy | AI / Defense / Infra | Strong evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 31 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| IRM | Iron Mountain Incorporated | United States | Supply Chain Disruption | AI infrastructure | Strong evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| CDE | Coeur Mining, Inc. | United States | Tech Transfer | Industrials & materials | Strong evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 17 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| NEE | NextEra Energy Inc | United States | Military Conflict | AI infrastructure | Strong evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 16 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| WFRD | Weatherford International plc | United States | Tech Transfer | Energy | Strong evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 17 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| OSIS | OSI Systems, Inc. | United States | Infrastructure Failure | AI / Defense / Infra | Strong evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 32 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| RVLV | Revolve Group, Inc. | United States | Sanctions | Controls / tail | Strong evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 23 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| NUE | Nucor Corporation | United States | Supply Chain Disruption | Steel & Metals | Strong evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 24 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| SBAC | SBAC | United States | Supply Chain Disruption | AI / Defense / Infra | Strong evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| HL | Hecla Mining Company | United States | Nationalization | Mining | Strong evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 14 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| VVX | VVX | United States | Tax Regime | AI / Defense / Infra | Strong evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 13 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| TDG | TransDigm Group | United States | Supply Chain Disruption | AI / Defense / Infra | Strong evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 23 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| MATX | Matson, Inc. | United States | Tax Regime | AI / Defense / Infra | Strong evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 13 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| SLAB | Silicon Laboratories Inc. | United States | Military Conflict | AI / Defense / Infra | Strong evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| CDE | Coeur Mining, Inc. | United States | Nationalization | Industrials & materials | Strong evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 14 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| MPC | MPC | United States | Capital Controls | Energy | Strong evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| NEE | NextEra Energy Inc | United States | Regulatory Change | AI infrastructure | Strong evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 49 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| VST | Vistra Corp | United States | Market Dislocation | AI infrastructure | Strong evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 9 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| BA | Boeing | United States | Trade Policy | Defense | Strong evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 31 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| GOAU | Metalurgica Gerdau | Brazil | Infrastructure Failure | Industrials & materials | Strong evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 32 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| ATKR | Atkore Inc. | United States | Supply Chain Disruption | AI / Defense / Infra | Strong evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| HII | Huntington Ingalls Industries | United States | Nationalization | AI / Defense / Infra | Strong evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 14 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| ROL | Rollins Inc | United States | Supply Chain Disruption | AI / Defense / Infra | Strong evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| AES | AES Corporation | United States | Sanctions | AI / Defense / Infra | Strong evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| CENX | Century Aluminum Company | United States | Regulatory Change | Industrials & materials | Strong evidence | ▼▼Moderate stress Noticeable negative response to events of this type. Signal is present but not as pronounced. | 49 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| GOAU | Metalurgica Gerdau | Brazil | Regulatory Change | Industrials & materials | Strong evidence | ▼▼Moderate stress Noticeable negative response to events of this type. Signal is present but not as pronounced. | 49 | Strong evidence. This firm shows a repeatable, statistically robust response to this event type across multiple benchmarks and a whole-firm validation. | Underwriting |
| IREN | IREN Limited | United States | Infrastructure Failure | AI infrastructure | Strong evidence, independently checked | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 13 | Strong event-specific evidence, confirmed on held-out events. Use for focused diligence on this peril. | Focused Diligence |
| MAERSK | A.P. Moller-Maersk | Denmark | Infrastructure Failure | Shipping | Strong evidence, independently checked | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 32 | Strong event-specific evidence, confirmed on held-out events. Use for focused diligence on this peril. | Focused Diligence |
| DLR | Digital Realty Trust | United States | Market Dislocation | AI infrastructure | Strong evidence, independently checked | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 10 | Strong event-specific evidence, confirmed on held-out events. Use for focused diligence on this peril. | Focused Diligence |
| GDS | GDS Holdings | United States | Regulatory Change | AI infrastructure | Strong evidence, independently checked | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 49 | Strong event-specific evidence, confirmed on held-out events. Use for focused diligence on this peril. | Focused Diligence |
| YTLPOWR | YTL Power Intl | Malaysia | Tech Transfer | AI infrastructure | Strong evidence, independently checked | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 17 | Strong event-specific evidence, confirmed on held-out events. Use for focused diligence on this peril. | Focused Diligence |
| PH | Parker-Hannifin | United States | Military Conflict | Defense | Strong evidence, independently checked | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Strong event-specific evidence, confirmed on held-out events. Use for focused diligence on this peril. | Focused Diligence |
| NXPI | NXP Semiconductors | United States | Capital Controls | Semiconductors | Strong evidence, independently checked | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Strong event-specific evidence, confirmed on held-out events. Use for focused diligence on this peril. | Focused Diligence |
| NPN | NPN | South Africa | Regulatory Change | jse_35_497evt | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 74 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| HLIT | Harmonic Inc. | United States | Market Dislocation | AI / Defense / Infra | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 10 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| NED | NED | South Africa | Nationalization | jse_35_497evt | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 35 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| WHL | WHL | South Africa | Nationalization | jse_35_497evt | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 35 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| BWXT | BWX Technologies, Inc. | United States | Trade Policy | AI / Defense / Infra | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 31 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| OGC | OceanaGold Corporation | United States | Tech Transfer | Mining | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 17 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| DIN | Dine Brands Global, Inc. | United States | Supply Chain Disruption | Controls / tail | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| CMP | Compass Minerals International | United States | Tech Transfer | Industrials & materials | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 17 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| TGA | Thungela Resources Limited | South Africa | Supply Chain Disruption | jse_35_497evt | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 24 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| TGA | Thungela Resources Limited | South Africa | Sovereign Crisis | jse_35_497evt | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 35 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| TGA | Thungela Resources Limited | South Africa | Regulatory Change | jse_35_497evt | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 74 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| IOSP | Innospec Inc. | United States | Regulatory Change | Industrials & materials | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 49 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| BID | BID | South Africa | Tech Transfer | jse_35_497evt | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 45 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| VOD_JO | VOD_JO | South Africa | Tech Transfer | jse_35_497evt | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 45 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| SCI | Service Corporation International | United States | Nationalization | AI / Defense / Infra | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 14 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| NPN | NPN | South Africa | Supply Chain Disruption | jse_35_497evt | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 23 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| DSY | DSY | South Africa | Market Dislocation | jse_35_497evt | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 25 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| CC | The Chemours Company | United States | Nationalization | Industrials & materials | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 14 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| BWXT | BWX Technologies, Inc. | United States | Sovereign Crisis | AI / Defense / Infra | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 20 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| RNI | RNI | South Africa | Tech Transfer | jse_35_497evt | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 45 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| INTC | Intel Corporation | United States | Supply Chain Disruption | Semiconductors | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| TGA | Thungela Resources Limited | South Africa | Nationalization | jse_35_497evt | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 35 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| DEWA | DEWA | United Arab Emirates | Regulatory Change | AI / Defense / Infra | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 49 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| ZIM | ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd | United States | Nationalization | AI / Defense / Infra | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 14 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| BN4_SI | Keppel Ltd | Singapore | Tech Transfer | AI infrastructure | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 17 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| CMP | Compass Minerals International | United States | Capital Controls | Industrials & materials | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 16 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| KIO | Kumba Iron Ore Limited | South Africa | Sanctions | jse_35_497evt | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 49 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| MIDD | The Middleby Corporation | United States | Supply Chain Disruption | AI / Defense / Infra | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| CLFD | Clearfield, Inc. | United States | Sanctions | AI / Defense / Infra | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 23 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| AEIS | Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. | United States | Supply Chain Disruption | AI / Defense / Infra | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 23 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| ENR_DE | Siemens Energy AG | Germany | Regulatory Change | AI / Defense / Infra | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 49 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| NHM | Northam Platinum Holdings Limited | South Africa | Sovereign Crisis | jse_35_497evt | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 35 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| GDS | GDS Holdings | United States | Tech Transfer | AI infrastructure | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 17 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| MTN | MTN | South Africa | Sovereign Crisis | jse_35_497evt | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 35 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| LDOS | Leidos Holdings | United States | Sanctions | AI / Defense / Infra | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| NEXTDC | NEXTDC Ltd | Australia | Tax Regime | AI infrastructure | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 13 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| QCOM | Qualcomm Inc | United States | Supply Chain Disruption | Semiconductors | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 23 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| FORM | FormFactor Inc | United States | Supply Chain Disruption | AI / Defense / Infra | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 23 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| BRC | Brady Corporation | United States | Military Conflict | Controls / tail | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| CCO | Cameco Corporation | United States | Sanctions | Mining | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 23 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| SCI | Service Corporation International | United States | Supply Chain Disruption | AI / Defense / Infra | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| AMKR | Amkor Technology, Inc. | United States | Tax Regime | AI / Defense / Infra | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 13 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| DEWA | DEWA | United Arab Emirates | Supply Chain Disruption | AI / Defense / Infra | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 23 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| BN4_SI | Keppel Ltd | Singapore | Trade Policy | AI / Defense / Infra | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 18 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| KWR | Quaker Houghton | United States | Supply Chain Disruption | Industrials & materials | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| TXN | Texas Instruments | United States | Trade Policy | Semiconductors | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 31 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| RTX | RTX Corporation | United States | Regulatory Change | AI / Defense / Infra | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 49 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| OR | Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd | United States | Regulatory Change | Mining | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 49 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| CCJ | CCJ | United States | Military Conflict | Mining | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 16 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| PH | Parker-Hannifin | United States | Nationalization | Defense | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 14 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| SU | SU | United States | Capital Controls | Energy | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| GLNG | Golar LNG | United States | Tech Transfer | Shipping | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 17 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| MRCY | Mercury Systems, Inc. | United States | Tax Regime | AI / Defense / Infra | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 13 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| INTC | Intel Corporation | United States | Tax Regime | Semiconductors | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 13 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| ENR_DE | Siemens Energy AG | Germany | Sovereign Crisis | AI / Defense / Infra | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 20 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| MTDR | Matador Resources Company | United States | Sovereign Crisis | Energy | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 20 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| AGX | AGX | United States | Tech Transfer | AI / Defense / Infra | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 17 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| LUMN | Lumen Technologies Inc | United States | Infrastructure Failure | AI infrastructure | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 32 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| KALU | Kaiser Aluminum Corporation | United States | Capital Controls | Industrials & materials | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| BID | BID | South Africa | Sovereign Crisis | jse_35_497evt | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 35 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| KAP | NAC Kazatomprom JSC | South Africa | Market Dislocation | jse_35_497evt | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 25 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| SSW | Sibanye-Stillwater Limited | South Africa | Infrastructure Failure | jse_35_497evt | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 32 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| AEIS | Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. | United States | Tax Regime | AI / Defense / Infra | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 13 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| RES | RPC, Inc. | United States | Sanctions | Energy | Focused evidence | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 23 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| OGC | OceanaGold Corporation | United States | Regulatory Change | Mining | Focused evidence | ▼▼Moderate stress Noticeable negative response to events of this type. Signal is present but not as pronounced. | 49 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| MOS | The Mosaic Company | United States | Trade Policy | Industrials & materials | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 31 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| NEXTDC | NEXTDC Ltd | Australia | Tech Transfer | AI infrastructure | Focused evidence | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 17 | Strong event-specific evidence. Whole-firm validation is limited, so use for focused diligence. | Focused Diligence |
| BTI | BTI | South Africa | Nationalization | jse_35_497evt | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 35 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| NIC | Nickel Industries Ltd | Australia | Sanctions | Mining | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 23 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| BTO | B2Gold Corp | United States | Military Conflict | Mining | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| GRT | GRT | South Africa | Supply Chain Disruption | jse_35_497evt | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| PDN | Paladin Energy Ltd | Australia | Capital Controls | Mining | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| YAR | Yara International | Norway | Supply Chain Disruption | Chemicals | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 24 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| ADANIENSOL | Adani Energy Solutions Limited | India | Military Conflict | AI / Defense / Infra | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| OSIS | OSI Systems, Inc. | United States | Military Conflict | AI / Defense / Infra | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| CAML | Central Asia Metals plc | United Kingdom | Regulatory Change | Mining | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 49 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| BOE | Boss Energy Ltd | Australia | Capital Controls | Mining | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| FFB | FFB | South Africa | Supply Chain Disruption | jse_35_497evt | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| SOH | SOH | South Africa | Market Dislocation | jse_35_497evt | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 25 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| SEC_SA | Saudi Energy Company | Saudi Arabia | Tax Regime | AI infrastructure | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 13 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| NEXTDC | NEXTDC Ltd | Australia | Supply Chain Disruption | AI / Defense / Infra | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| IMP | Impala Platinum Holdings Limited | South Africa | Tax Regime | Mining | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 7 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| GMD | Genesis Minerals Ltd | Australia | Capital Controls | Mining | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 6 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| BCPC | Balchem Corporation | United States | Capital Controls | Industrials & materials | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 16 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| KMI | KMI | United States | Tax Regime | Energy | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 13 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| SII | Sprott Inc | United States | Tech Transfer | Controls / tail | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 17 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| PAAS | Pan American Silver Corp | United States | Tech Transfer | Mining | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 17 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| VALE | VALE | United States | Nationalization | Mining | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 14 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| ABG | ABG | South Africa | Regulatory Change | jse_35_497evt | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 74 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| SLM | SLM | South Africa | Regulatory Change | jse_35_497evt | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 74 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| FM | First Quantum Minerals Ltd | United States | Market Dislocation | Mining | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 10 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| NTR | NTR | United States | Market Dislocation | Industrials & materials | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 10 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| BVN | Compania de Minas Buenaventura SAA | Peru | Nationalization | Mining | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 14 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| NTC | NTC | South Africa | Supply Chain Disruption | jse_35_497evt | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| NPN | NPN | South Africa | Nationalization | jse_35_497evt | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 35 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| BWXT | BWX Technologies, Inc. | United States | Tech Transfer | AI / Defense / Infra | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 17 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| AFE | AFE | South Africa | Supply Chain Disruption | jse_35_497evt | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| CALM | Cal-Maine Foods, Inc. | United States | Capital Controls | Industrials & materials | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 16 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| MRP | MRP | South Africa | Nationalization | jse_35_497evt | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 35 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| SITM | SiTime Corporation | United States | Tech Transfer | AI / Defense / Infra | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 17 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| LIN | Linde plc | United States | Supply Chain Disruption | Energy | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| NPN | NPN | South Africa | Capital Controls | jse_35_497evt | Early signal | ▼▼Moderate stress Noticeable negative response to events of this type. Signal is present but not as pronounced. | 68 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| RS | Reliance Steel & Aluminum | United States | Sanctions | Steel & Metals | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 23 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| SSRM | SSR Mining Inc | United States | Sovereign Crisis | Mining | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 20 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| MP | MP Materials Corp. | United States | Sovereign Crisis | Industrials & materials | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 20 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| BTO | B2Gold Corp | United States | Tech Transfer | Mining | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 17 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| FM | First Quantum Minerals Ltd | United States | Capital Controls | Mining | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| PTEN | Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc. | United States | Trade Policy | Energy | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 31 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| SBK | SBK | South Africa | Market Dislocation | jse_35_497evt | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 25 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| NEM | NEM | United States | Tech Transfer | Mining | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 17 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| BKR | BKR | United States | Trade Policy | Energy | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 31 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| FMC | FMC Corporation | United States | Tech Transfer | Industrials & materials | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 17 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| AGI | Alamos Gold Inc | United States | Nationalization | Mining | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 14 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| KIO | Kumba Iron Ore Limited | South Africa | Tech Transfer | jse_35_497evt | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 45 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| DUK | Duke Energy Corporation | United States | Market Dislocation | AI infrastructure | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 10 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| INSW | International Seaways, Inc. | United States | Sovereign Crisis | AI / Defense / Infra | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 20 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| BA | Boeing | United States | Military Conflict | Defense | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| AGX | AGX | United States | Sanctions | AI / Defense / Infra | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 23 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| CEG | Constellation Energy | United States | Nationalization | AI / Defense / Infra | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 14 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| BN4_SI | Keppel Ltd | Singapore | Supply Chain Disruption | AI / Defense / Infra | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 8 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| MTRN | Materion Corporation | United States | Nationalization | Industrials & materials | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 14 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| TXN | Texas Instruments | United States | Tax Regime | Semiconductors | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 13 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| CHRD | Chord Energy Corporation | United States | Sovereign Crisis | Energy | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 20 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| VOD_JO | VOD_JO | South Africa | Regulatory Change | jse_35_497evt | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 74 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| NEXTDC | NEXTDC Ltd | Australia | Infrastructure Failure | AI infrastructure | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 32 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| TDG | TransDigm Group | United States | Capital Controls | Defense | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| CE | Celanese | United States | Military Conflict | Chemicals | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| SM | SM Energy Company | United States | Sovereign Crisis | Energy | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 20 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| AES | AES Corporation | United States | Market Dislocation | AI infrastructure | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 10 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| BHP | BHP | United States | Market Dislocation | Mining | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 10 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| CALM | Cal-Maine Foods, Inc. | United States | Infrastructure Failure | Industrials & materials | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 32 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| IMP | Impala Platinum Holdings Limited | South Africa | Sovereign Crisis | jse_35_497evt | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 35 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| HBM | Hudbay Minerals Inc | United States | Sanctions | Industrials & materials | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 23 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| MIN | Mineral Resources Ltd | Australia | Supply Chain Disruption | Mining | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| MP | MP Materials Corp. | United States | Tech Transfer | Industrials & materials | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 17 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| KGC | KGC | United States | Tax Regime | Mining | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 13 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| BTO | B2Gold Corp | United States | Regulatory Change | Mining | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 49 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| HAFNI | Hafnia Ltd | Norway | Sanctions | Shipping | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 17 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| GGG | Graco Inc. | United States | Supply Chain Disruption | AI / Defense / Infra | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| BP | BP plc | United Kingdom | Capital Controls | Energy | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| NHY | Norsk Hydro | Norway | Nationalization | Industrials & materials | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 14 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| CHE | Chemed Corporation | United States | Nationalization | AI / Defense / Infra | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 14 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| HAR | Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited | South Africa | Infrastructure Failure | jse_35_497evt | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 32 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| CHE | Chemed Corporation | United States | Supply Chain Disruption | AI / Defense / Infra | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| HGM | Hochschild Mining plc | United Kingdom | Infrastructure Failure | Mining | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 6 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| BID | BID | South Africa | Regulatory Change | jse_35_497evt | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 74 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| SHP | SHP | South Africa | Tech Transfer | jse_35_497evt | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 45 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| ENR_DE | Siemens Energy AG | Germany | Supply Chain Disruption | AI infrastructure | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 19 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| MRVL | Marvell Technology | United States | Infrastructure Failure | Semiconductors | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 32 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| TROX | Tronox Holdings plc | United States | Nationalization | Industrials & materials | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 14 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| D | Dominion Energy | United States | Tax Regime | AI infrastructure | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 13 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| VNET | VNET Group Inc | United States | Capital Controls | AI infrastructure | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| TTE | TTE | United States | Capital Controls | Energy | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| WPM | Wheaton Precious Metals Corp | United States | Tax Regime | Mining | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 13 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| WHL | WHL | South Africa | Tech Transfer | jse_35_497evt | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 45 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| VOD_JO | VOD_JO | South Africa | Supply Chain Disruption | jse_35_497evt | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| BTI | BTI | South Africa | Tax Regime | jse_35_497evt | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 35 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| ACWA | ACWA Power | Saudi Arabia | Nationalization | AI / Defense / Infra | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 14 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| DSY | DSY | South Africa | Sovereign Crisis | jse_35_497evt | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 35 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| ACWA | ACWA Power | Saudi Arabia | Military Conflict | AI infrastructure | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 8 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| LUMN | Lumen Technologies Inc | United States | Tech Transfer | AI infrastructure | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 17 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| NEXTDC | NEXTDC Ltd | Australia | Sanctions | AI infrastructure | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| ABX | Barrick Gold Corporation | United States | Capital Controls | Mining | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| ITT | ITT Inc. | United States | Military Conflict | AI / Defense / Infra | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| NTC | NTC | South Africa | Tech Transfer | jse_35_497evt | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 45 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| WMB | WMB | United States | Capital Controls | Energy | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 16 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| DSY | DSY | South Africa | Nationalization | jse_35_497evt | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 35 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| AMT | AMT | United States | Supply Chain Disruption | AI / Defense / Infra | Early signal | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| GATX | GATX | United States | Sanctions | AI / Defense / Infra | Early signal | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 23 | Promising but not yet robust. More events or testing are needed before relying on it. | Candidate For Review |
| ADANIENSOL | Adani Energy Solutions Limited | India | Supply Chain Disruption | AI infrastructure | Do not use | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 8 | Result excluded: market-data window is contaminated by a corporate action (SPAC, ticker rename, spin-off, IPO). | Do Not Use |
| ADANIENSOL | Adani Energy Solutions Limited | India | Regulatory Change | AI / Defense / Infra | Do not use | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 49 | Result excluded: market-data window is contaminated by a corporate action (SPAC, ticker rename, spin-off, IPO). | Do Not Use |
| LAC | LAC | United States | Tech Transfer | Mining | Do not use | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 10 | Result excluded: market-data window is contaminated by a corporate action (SPAC, ticker rename, spin-off, IPO). | Do Not Use |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings | United States | Regulatory Change | AI infrastructure | Do not use | ▼▼Moderate stress Noticeable negative response to events of this type. Signal is present but not as pronounced. | 43 | Result excluded: market-data window is contaminated by a corporate action (SPAC, ticker rename, spin-off, IPO). | Do Not Use |
| LAC | LAC | United States | Sanctions | Mining | Do not use | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 8 | Result excluded: market-data window is contaminated by a corporate action (SPAC, ticker rename, spin-off, IPO). | Do Not Use |
| VAL | VAL | United States | Regulatory Change | Energy | Do not use | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 41 | Result excluded: market-data window is contaminated by a corporate action (SPAC, ticker rename, spin-off, IPO). | Do Not Use |
| VAL | VAL | United States | Supply Chain Disruption | Energy | Do not use | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 16 | Result excluded: market-data window is contaminated by a corporate action (SPAC, ticker rename, spin-off, IPO). | Do Not Use |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings | United States | Nationalization | AI infrastructure | Do not use | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 8 | Result excluded: market-data window is contaminated by a corporate action (SPAC, ticker rename, spin-off, IPO). | Do Not Use |
| LAC | LAC | United States | Infrastructure Failure | Mining | Do not use | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 6 | Result excluded: market-data window is contaminated by a corporate action (SPAC, ticker rename, spin-off, IPO). | Do Not Use |
| LAC | LAC | United States | Regulatory Change | Mining | Do not use | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 31 | Result excluded: market-data window is contaminated by a corporate action (SPAC, ticker rename, spin-off, IPO). | Do Not Use |
| LAC | LAC | United States | Military Conflict | (from ledger) | Do not use | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | Result excluded: market-data window is contaminated by a corporate action (SPAC, ticker rename, spin-off, IPO). | Do Not Use | |
| TECK | Teck Resources Limited | United States | Nationalization | (from ledger) | Do not use | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | Result excluded: market-data window is contaminated by a corporate action (SPAC, ticker rename, spin-off, IPO). | Do Not Use | |
| FANG | Diamondback Energy | United States | Sanctions | (from ledger) | Do not use | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | Result excluded: market-data window is contaminated by a corporate action (SPAC, ticker rename, spin-off, IPO). | Do Not Use | |
| J | J | United States | Sanctions | (from ledger) | Do not use | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | Result excluded: market-data window is contaminated by a corporate action (SPAC, ticker rename, spin-off, IPO). | Do Not Use | |
| GDS | GDS Holdings | United States | Supply Chain Disruption | AI infrastructure | Do not use | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 23 | Result excluded: firm response is contaminated by a secondary exposure (ownership tie, event-window overlap, or unrelated driver). | Do Not Use |
| VNET | VNET Group Inc | United States | Sanctions | AI infrastructure | Do not use | ◆ MixedDirection varies across events of this type. Some cause stress, others create opportunity. | 23 | Result excluded: firm response is contaminated by a secondary exposure (ownership tie, event-window overlap, or unrelated driver). | Do Not Use |
| ETN | Eaton Corporation plc | United States | Nationalization | AI infrastructure | Do not use | ▼▼▼Strong stress Firm consistently drops after events of this type. High-confidence directional signal. | 14 | Result excluded: signal depends on a single event and is too fragile to use. | Do Not Use |