Roadmap
Where PRR is headed. The system is actively expanding its firm universe, event library, and analytical capabilities.
Current release — v1.0
DB v1 Candidate
429 firms, 497 events, 12 risk channels audited. Full response surface with evidence grades, event classification audit, and multi-window robustness checks.
Public Explorer
Interactive evidence map, firm risk signals with cardinal direction scale, event library with scenario-family overlays, and risk channel event classification.
Coverage Map
DB-backed geographic visualization: 18 listing markets, 87 event-target countries, 4-layer coverage hierarchy from listed firms to validated evidence.
In progress
Continuous event expansion
New political-risk events are added to the library as they occur. Each event goes through provenance documentation, event classification tagging, collision checking, and falsification testing before promotion to the production library. The event count grows with real-world political activity.
Methodology refinement
Ongoing improvements to statistical testing, evidence grading, and robustness checks. Current focus areas include temporal holdout validation, event classification expansion testing across all risk channels, and multi-window stability analysis. Each refinement is tested against the existing evidence base before deployment.
Firm universe growth
Expanding coverage across listing markets and sector verticals. Recent additions include JSE-listed South African firms, Indian NSE firms, and AI infrastructure/data center verticals. Each new firm goes through ticker audit, exposure profiling, and response surface computation.
Planned
Private firm analogs
Extending PRR to private companies that lack public equity prices. Private firms will be scored using structural exposure profiles and analog evidence from comparable public firms. This enables M&A diligence and portfolio monitoring for firms without public equity data, using the same risk channel framework and evidence grades.
Bespoke firm-event analysis
On-demand deep dives into how a specific firm responds to a specific event or scenario. Includes narrative summaries of the event context, the firm's exposure profile, observed firm value response, and statistical evidence — written for non-technical stakeholders who need to understand the risk channel, not just the signal.
Narrative event and evidence summaries
Auto-generated plain-language reports for any event or firm-risk-channel pair. Event summaries explain what happened, who was affected, and how it connects to the risk channel event classification. Evidence summaries translate statistical results into business conclusions: what the signal means, how confident it is, and what to do with it.
Stochastic scenario catalog
Insurance-style forward-looking stress simulation. Synthetic event frequency calibrated from historical patterns, with per-event severity bounded by observed response tails. Enables portfolio-level stress testing against plausible political risk scenarios.
API access
Programmatic access to firm risk signals, evidence grades, event library, and narrative summaries. REST and bulk export formats designed for integration into existing risk management, compliance, and portfolio monitoring workflows.
Real-time event monitoring
Automated detection of new political-risk events with immediate impact assessment against covered firms. Push alerts when a new event triggers a material signal change for a monitored firm.